Past the Wire
By Jonathan Stettin
Breeders’ Cup 2017 Analysis
The best horses, trainers, and riders have gathered at Del Mar where the surf meets the turf for the 2017 Breeders’ Cup. We have nice size fields, some full ones, and competitive racing over the two days. There will be plenty of opportunities both days and even the supporting races are interesting. Value will be plentiful, so I am not of the opinion it is something you need to really worry about. If you land on a shorter priced horse, you really like, remember on a day like this all the exotic and multi-race wager pools are larger than normal, and you should always be able to create some value in that scenario. You just have to be right.
There is never any value in a losing horse or bet.
This analysis including the strategies, ticket structuring advice, and selections is intended to be a tool and a guide. Always stick to your guns, but remember four eyes are better than two, and an educated opinion can’t hurt.
I’ve done a lot of homework, watching replays, workouts, taking notes, studying past performances and Thoro-Graph numbers and patterns. I’ve tried to figure out the pace scenarios in the races and who will be where when. I have some strong opinions, and I will try and capitalize on those.
Yes I am aware I am pretty deep in some races, especially on Friday, but I am not nearly as deep on Saturday, and regardless the way I am playing things I will work that to my advantage. I also close out both days with singles.
WAGERING STRATEGIES:
Wagering strategies change from meet to meet and sometimes from day to day. There are many factors that go into that for me. These strategies are for this year’s Breeders’ Cup based on the hand we were dealt, and that is not a complaint about the hand at all. It just is what it is.
One key this year is going to be how the track at Del Mar is playing. It was quirky to say the least on the dirt during the summer meet. The turf was a lot more fair, and you could win over the grass from anywhere but I leaned to horses coming off it on the turf.With only one or two days in the books before the Breeders’ Cup begins we will not have much time to gauge or form definitive conclusions. The turf rail is out now, but will be down on Friday. That can change things and so can how they work the track. The dirt produced fast early splits on Wednesday. It seems faster than it was in the summer.
Let’s look at what we know about the Del Mar track as I feel it is a key factor in this year’s Breeders’ Cup. Last summer they installed a new track, new dirt. It was quirky to say the least and some horses just didn’t take to it. Another factor is the close proximity to the ocean. It is a lot cooler in the morning at Del Mar than the afternoon in the summer. This is why the track was often easier to handle and train over and even faster in the morning than come race time. That probably won’t be the case in this cooler weather and lesser humidity. This is going to be important. Watch the track in the early races. It won’t be getting hotter and stickier and as quirky in the afternoon like during the summer meet. It will most likely play the same all day, on both days barring any rain. If it rains, we just watch how it plays. Del Mar doesn’t often get sloppy or take much rain, so if that is the case, which we all khow it isn’t, nobody knows how it will play.
STRATEGY 1- Adjust wagers, and selections based on how the dirt and turf are playing. Make adjustments like during halftime at a football game, if it is playing a certain way early, adjust your late wagers accordingly.
STRATEGY 2- Ignore the board. If a horse is a higher price or even a lower price than you expected, don’t let it change your opinion of the horse. There is a lot of crazy money in these inflated pools, and we can always create value in the exotics or multi-race wagers. If the price is higher, take advantage of it. Again we just have to be right.
STRATEGY 3- All races, bets, and selections are NOT created equal. Adjust your budget and plays accordingly. Don’t get caught in the trap trying to beat every race on both cards. Pick the one or two or even three spots you like best, and put 75% of your bankroll there. You can enjoy and play the other races with the other 25%. Make the 75% count. That is what will matter Saturday night unless you catch a bomb exotic or something like that earlier. If that happens it’s just icing on the cake, but focus on your best feelings or opinions.
STRATEGY 4- The Pick 4’s ending with the Distaff and Classic are both going to have big pools, I have focused on both those races with hopes of hitting a single in each. This lets me bet a cold Distaff-Classic Double, and additionally try and be alive into the last leg of both Pick 4’s. The bulk of my bankroll goes there and gives me a chance to score on one, two or maybe three bets. It also allows me to take some shots with the other 25% of my bankroll. We just have to be right.
TICKET STRUCTURING:
For me ticket structuring is the easiest part. I have a kill shot style of playing and I am not afraid to go for it, to make it count, or to lose. I know that in the long run, I will be right enough to offset the losses. I often say to much criticism, you have to be winning to cash less tickets, but win more money. I don’t hedge, I don’t reverse, and I don’t box. I minimize my losing wagers. I capitalize on the winning ones. So while yes, people may cash more tickets, but beating the game and winning more money is what counts. You have to be comfortable with that to play like I do. That said, this is the Breeders’ Cup, and some of you may just play on these days and are in it more for fun and some recreation and to cash some tickets. That is fine, I do not want you to not reverse a winning exacta because of anything I said or how I play. Play your way, just consider and factor my points and principles.
Pick 6 Structuring- One or two singles levels the playing field and allows you to compete with the whales and syndicates. You just gotta be right. I know I have been saying that a lot, but isn’t that what it is all about? Singles allow you to spread in the other legs, and maybe make something happen. If you can cut another race to two or three then you can really spread in the remaining races where your opinion isn’t that strong. Remember we often get beat in the races our opinion isn’t that strong, so I like to go deepest there. It helps tremendously if your single, or at least one of them if you are using two, is NOT an obvious one or the one everyone is using. If it is so be it, but it helps if it isn’t. It shouldn’t matter this weekend if you hit the other legs. You’ll get paid.
Pick 5 Structuring- The same principle as the Pick 6, find a single or two, and try to cut a race to two or three. You have the 50 cent minimum working for you here, and if you are playing with a smaller bankroll use that to your advantage. If you find that single, and cut one race down, as with the Pick 6 you can make something even life changing happen.
Pick 4 Structuring- The song remains the same. A single is the edge. A cut or short race gives a lot of room, I use it.
Go Back Tickets- I don’t use the ABC method at all. I play my ticket and take my stand. I do however play a Go Back ticket using the one or two I like best in the spread races multiple times. This way I hit the bet once, or several times. I never leave the door open to have all the horses in a sequence but on different tickets because I rated them A, B, or C. This really applies to the Pick 5 or Pick 4 and not the Pick 6 except on rare occasions.
Pick 3 Structuring- I hardly play them. If I get knocked out in the first leg of a Pick 4, I might on rare occasions play the remaining horses in the Pick 3.
Daily Double Structuring- Simple, one with two or three tops, or two or three with one tops. Example: $20 Double 5 with 3,6,10 or $2 Double 3,4,8 with 9. (Those are random numbers)
Exacta Structuring- One with two or three in the second slot. I don’t reverse or box and the one on top is often my single in a multi-race bet, Kill Shot.
Triple Structuring- I turn triples into exactas. I take one with two or three in the second slot with all in the third. I don’t think you or anyone can handicap for third. I will on occasion eliminate a horse or two from the third/all slot if they just look terrible and I can’t imagine them hitting the board.
Superfecta Structuring- Generally I use the same format as the triple, one with two or three, with all with all. I am turning it into an exacta. If I hit the exacta, I hit the triple or super unless it is one of those days where a rare all slot elimination pops up. maybe it has happened once or twice, but usually if I eliminate one from an all slot I’m pretty safe.
Win Bets- Love them. Especially on the big days where you don’t dent or show in the pools. The sky’s the limit!
Remember this is my Kill Shot style. I am willing to take the losses and the hits. If it is not for you don’t force it. it’s guidance and what works for me and my style and philosophy.
Del Mar Friday 11/3/2017
Race 5– Marathon, this is no longer a Breeders’ Cup race but I studied it just the same. I think it is a two horse race, #3 Destin looks like he fits really good here and Todd Pletcher may not be that loaded in the Breeders’ Cup races but he found a good spot for this horse. I think he runs big and only has the #7 Hard Aces to beat. Hard Aces is rock solid and faster than these. If he brings his A game he will be tough to down, but John Sadler isn’t as dangerous on the big days as day in and day out for whatever reason. That makes me lean to Destin. If I play the early Pick 5, I will use only the two. GO BACK horse = Destin.
Destin WINNER!!! closes $2340 Pick 5 for 50 cents!
Race 6– Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Filly Turf, this is the first leg of the Pick 4 that ends with the Distaff, because I am singling in the Distaff, I have room in the first three legs, and I feel like I need it. I am definitely looking for a big race from #2 Happily, strong connections, and she has run as fast as anything in here in her last two and both were without Lasix which she’ll get here, very dangerous with crafty pilot Ryan Moore up and she’s beat boys, the #7 Capla Temptress who was a winning SPOT PLAY on TRACKING TRIPS last out adds Lasix too and switches to Bill Mott, a must use, the #10 September also from Aidan O’Brien is dangerous again another who adds Lasix and has already been as fast as these in Europe, the #1 Best Performance also adds Lasix which may help with what looks like a touch of seconditis, Jose Ortiz helps too, both Chad Brown’s horses fit really good and he can take this just like he does the New York grass stakes with either #8 Significant Form who beat Best Performance but without Lasix, or #11 Rushing Fall who by an ever so slight margin might just be the fastest horse in here. Despite the horrible post, and no Lasix I just can’t toss the #13 Juliet Capulet. Gosden is just too dangerous and all those seven furlong races may have this gal primed for this mile. Put a gun to my head and I would take Happily but I don’t think the 1 or 11 are far off her.
Rushing Fall WINNER!!! over Best Performance, exacta, over September, triple over Significant Form, superfecta, Happily and September both had bad trips.
Race 7– Breeders’ Cup Mile, the mile is always a tough race, and this year is no exception. #3 Sharp Azteca is going to take it to them flying the ever unpopular Jorge Navarro’s flag. Can he roll the whole mile, I don’t think so, but that said we know Jorge would love to stick it to everyone here, and Paco can be dangerous with a loose hold long galloping lead, I can’t let him beat me although I do not like him here, #5 Awesome Slew I do like and he will be a price, he’s fast, steady, and likes a two turn mile, #6 Mor Spirit ran off the charts in the Met Mile and that race would humble these, if he can repeat that the race is for second but I spoke to Bob Baffert on our Switching Leads radio show, and he readily admitted Mor Spirit took until just recently to bounce back from that effort, that makes him iffy at a short price but still a must use and respect, maybe he can even regress and win but sometimes those races really gut a horse, if anyone can get him back it is Bob, #8 Accelerate merits respect and must be used, again John Sadler is a lot more dangerous when it isn’t a classic, but he has some live ones this year and is due, if he does it I hope it is here and not the Distaff which we’ll get to. #10 Practical Joke drew horribly in the 10 hole and a lot of people will toss him because of that and that they think he is a one turn horse, I agree he might be better at one turn, BUT…..I also think he likes the mile, even at two turns, is catching these horses at the right time, and if he drops back and gets over, and the track is playing fair, he can be right there, I have to use him and even like him some. #7 Cupid is going to be tough as nails I think. He should sit a great trip, likes to win, and if Mor Spirit isn’t at his best or close to it, Cupid becomes a very likely winner in my opinion. I am using them all courtesy of the closing single, but…..my top choice are Awesome Slew, Mor Spirit and Cupid.
Ouch! Battle of Midway fooled me and I bet him in the Kentucky Derby!!!
Race 8– Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf, Again I am going to take advantage of having a single in the last leg. I think I need to as this race is wide open, more than wide open. The only two horses I can’t make a case for in the body of the race are the 9 and 14, so watch one of those win……..a major ouch should it happen. I lean to three in here, but I think I need more, the three I lean to are #6 Masar, #7 James Garfield, and #8 Voting Control. They will be the three on my GO BACK ticket. The horses on my big ticket will be in addition to the three above will be, #1 Mendelssohn, #2 Untamed Domain, #10 Flameaway, #12 Hemp Hemp Hurray and #13 My Boy Jack. I wouldn’t argue with anyone using all here.
Mendelssohn, WINNER!, Untamed Domain, second, exacta, Voting Control, third, triple, none on my GO BACK ticket however…
Race 9– Breeders’ Cup Distaff, last year on our webinar I loved Beholder and had her one of the best bets both days. She came through and those of you who were there likely remember and won along with me. I’m going to single this year again, but the race isn’t as simple as last year. Forever Unbridled is steady as a rock, and coming into the race the right way. I think she is the horse to beat along with Abel Tasman who is as dangerous as anyone in there. I think Paradise Woods will get a few challenges, and looks vulnerable to a regression, Stellar Wind loves the track, but I don’t know if she can overcome the layoff against these, I don’t think Vale Dori is this good and she had her hands full with her. Early on I thought Elate was going to be special and I will be the first to say she had me second guessing myself. She’s really come around and I believe if she was on the outside of Abel Tasman in the Coaching Club American Oaks she would have beaten her that day. She’s gotten a lot better since then too. She didn’t beat this quality in her first start against older in the Beldame, but she did it like a pro. She was behind horses and when the seam showed itself she spurt through. Her Alabama was as fast as she needs to be for these and I think she is going to go forward. She’ll get the jump on Forever Unbridled, and if she gets the lead in the stretch I don’t think anyone is getting by her. Hopefully Stellar Wind and Champagne Wind press Paradise Woods, and give me the set up I am hoping for. Elate is my single.
Elate just didn’t fire, Forever Unbridled who is ultra consistent ran huge.
Race 10– SK Maddy Stakes, not a Breeders’ Cup race but is a part of another Pick 4 starting in the seventh race the Breeders’ Cup Mile. I like the #9 Long Hot Summer, I’ll single her in that Pick 4, and bet her as well.
This horse was making a big and maybe even winning move fro last in a five furlong race, got stopped and never recovered, Talamo didn’t ave many mounts yesterday and may have has a little rust on him in this one, goes on the TRACKING TRIPS list.
Del Mar Saturday 11/4/2017 (UPDATED BASED ON FRIDAY RESULTS AND TRACK)….. UPDATES IN BLUE…….
Friday the man track was fast and fair but note the main track winners were on the outside. That said most were simply the best horse. Interestingly, most riders who were on the lead turning for home didn’t hug the rail as they typically might, they went out a few paths indicating despite the best horses winning outside, it may have been the bettor place to be. I am going to be watching to see if that trend continues in the early races. It absolutely does not change my opinion on Arrogate who I think swings outside for his run. I think Smith will ride him like he did Abel Tasman only the mile and a quarter will make the difference. If he’s galloping along on the inside early I don’t think that will matter and Mike will know where to be when it counts. Arrogate remains my key and best play of the whole Breeders’ Cup. He will take the majority of my action in various wagers. I like him more today than yesterday…..
Race 4– I am glad I do not “have to” bet this race. It is wide open and I can make a case for many. Ultimately I decided on #1 Heavenly Love, #9 Alluring Star and # 13 Separation of Powers who has a rough post to overcome.
Based on yesterday I re looked at this one hard. I totally changed my thoughts on it. I said it was tough, and it really is. I decided my top choice is now #12 Caledonia Road, I think this filly can sit back and make a run on the outside and maybe get them all at a price. #3 Princess Warrior can also run big the same way and has a better post if she gets through. Must uses. #7 Moonshine Memories is logical and if nobody jumps up she can be right there again, #8 Piedi Bianchi should also get overlooked and can be right there. I’ll still use the ones I liked yesterday, but I won’t narrow to just those three. I won’t be betting hard here anyway but may take a decent little stab on Caledonia Road.
Race 5– Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint, Lady Aurelia will be the headliner here even though Marsha is in the race who beat her already. Lady Aurelia got her revenge and both are in here against the boys, who they have both beaten before. I am not as enamored with Lady Aurelia as the masses, I like her and will use her but I will not be surprised at all if she loses. If I use Lady Aurelia I also have to use #6 Marsha. I think both Peter Miller’s horses are live and dangerous, #4 Stormy Liberal and #7 Richard’s Boy. The last one I will use is the #1 Disco Partner, I’m concerned about his trip from the rail, but he may get through and run these down. NY Bred and all.
#10 Hogy loves to win and after originally thinking he was a cut below, I thought his heart can maybe get him up with Jose on and only a few starts for Maker. He gets added to the mix. I was going to toss #11 Bucchero too…..but maybe he just came around and he will be in a garden spot.
Race 6– Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint, I loved Unique Bella early on, thought she was the best three year old filly after her second start, and cashed some nice bets on her. That was then and this is now. I didn’t like her return enough to think she can win here, let alone in the Distaff had she gone there. I am going to take a stand against her. I’m using #7 Bye The Moon, my top choice is #8 Constellation who goes to her third good trainer but may move forward and I am fully aware she will have to in order to win. I also like #9 Finley’sluckycharm who showed she can sit and pounce last out, and I have to like or should I say use #12 Skye Diamonds for cagey Bill Spawr. Unique Bella would need a big move forward which isn’t impossible, but I think she will get beat.
Although I am not thrilled with Unique Bella here, the way she is drawn and the way the track “seemed’ to play yesterday forces me to include her. #10 Highway Star is very honest and consistent on numbers and is an overachiever. I can’t overlook that. The #14 Ami’s Messa is a question mark if she takes to dirt and the race falls apart. #3 Curlin’s Approval has run races good enough to win here, but I am not sure she can today. Tough tough race.
Race 7– #9 Lady Eli, she looks a lot better to me this year and she nearly won it last year. She’s had more time to recover from her life threatening fight with Laminitis and I think she will go out a winner. She is pretty close to a single to me but there is a horse I fear too much to leave out. #6 Cambodia is the one I am concerned with. Lady Eli is better, and has become tactful enough that Irad Ortiz can do just about whatever he wants with her……But Cambodia is improving, is two for two at Del Mar and has to be on my ticket.
I will stick to my guns here. I lean to Lady Eli going out a winner and getting her Eclipse. My second choice remains the same. Cambodia. I will mention the horse who beat Lady Eli last year, #10 Queen’s Trust much prefers firm turf which she will get. #1 War Flag is a TRACKING TRIPS horse that Shug has been patient with, she would have to improve again, but we have seen TRACKING TRIPS horses do that. #14 Rhododenron was one I had but tossed yesterday, I want her back.
Race 8– Had Drefong drawn outside I would have singled him. I think he is a world class sprinter, and I know Bob Baffert agrees as he told me so. I bet him last year, and in Saratoga last year and this year. This is a perfect example of how a draw can affect a race and wager and why I don’t make up my mind until they do draw and I do the race. On the outside Mike Smith had options, and had he been able to stalk and sweep past these on the turn I doubt they could beat him. Now he either has to clear which will be tough, or hope for a catbird seat behind Takaful and Imperial Hint. He runs the risk of getting bottled up inside, and that could be trouble in the Sprint a la Jimmy Creed who I bet big that year. He came back to win the Malibu and get me even. Because of the draw I have to go a tad deeper, but use Drefong on any GO BACK tickets. I am going to throw in #3 American Pastime who is on the upswing, and doesn’t have to go forward much. Kent Desormeaux stopped riding him before the wire last out or I think he would have won. He’s off today and goes to #8 Roy H who I will also put in. I am not sold on Imperial Hint. I have to see him do it against these, and he looks set up to bounce or regress. That said he can bounce and win off that last one if he has the class to run with these which is iffy. I am tempted to toss him, but I am not going to because of what I already said, and I don’t think the speed is really going to come back in this race. I went from a single to four because of the draw. I have to play the hand I am dealt. Drefong remains top choice and GO BACK horse.
If the track plays like yesterday, and #9 Ransom the Moon a former SPOT PLAY who won, drops back and makes a late run under patient Prat, he can win if the speed backs up. I still do not think it will, but just in case he deserves consideration even though Roy H would have beat him the day he won had he not been carried out by loose horse Drefong.
Race 9– Breeders’ Cup Turf Mile, tough race to start the Pick 4 which is my main bet of Saturday. I have to spread, and I lean to closers. I am using the #4 Lancaster Bomber, #5 World Approval, #6 Zelzal, #8 Suedois, #10 Ribchester, #11 Ballagh Rocks, #12 Roly Poly, and #13 Blackjackcat. Tough heart, gotta get by it.
No change.
Race 10– My top choice in here is #2 Solomoni, and my second choice is the maiden #6 Good Magic. They will be my GO BACK horses. The others I will use are #3 Firenze Fire, #5 Free Drop Billy, # 7 The Tabulator, #11 Bolt D’ Oro who I am not as high on as everyone else but I can’t let him beat me, and # 12 Hollywood Star.
Top choice remains the same, #2 Solomini. I think the #6 Good Magic must be put in, Chad and Jose are too good and dangerous, the horse is too.
Race 11– I lean to the #5 Ulysses, classy and pointing for this, but without Lasix I can’t stand with him. Europeans who run here with Lasix win at a much higher percentage than those without it. Accordingly I will use #3 Highland Reel, #4 Decorated Knight, #8 Bigger Picture who looks a cut below, but has a Thoro-Graph pattern I love with all steady numbers showing me a forward move is coming, and #12 Beach Patrol who has finally come around.
#5 Ulysses, my top choice is a major scratch. I am adding #10 Fanciful Angel to replace him. I was going to sit tight, but I liked Ulysses a lot and felt I needed him, without him I felt vulnerable, and the goal is to be alive to Arrogate, this horse only goes second time for Brown, and can improve. He’s in.
Race 12– Breeders’ Cup Classic, I hope they make Gun Runner the favorite. I think it can go either way as far as favoritism goes. As far as the race I like Arrogate and nothing but Arrogate. He consistently finishes faster than any horse in here and at a mile and a quarter I can’t see who is going to hold him off. A single and a MAJOR WAGER for me. I don’t buy into him not liking Del Mar. I think he wasn’t himself after the string of hard races and the trip to Dubai. Even not himself he nearly caught Collected in the Pacific Classic and would have in another jump or two. He’s better now, and 200 pounds heavier. Nobody is fast enough to run with him late and if he wasn’t going to fire I don’t think they’d run him. I expect Mike Smith to sit back and let him ease into the bridle and make that move around the turn. If he is close on the turn, I think he can blow these away. Gun Runner has been very impressive, but new track, longer than he prefers, and facing a better horse. Arrogate gave him a sixteenth of a mile head start in Dubai, so on their best days, as Gun Runner was indeed good then, Arrogate takes him. My best and biggest bet of the weekend and maybe the year or more.
I like him more than yesterday as explained above. I hope to be alive to him. If not a MAJOR WAGER to win for me. He’s my price of admission for the weekend. The Pick 4 isn’t cheap even with the single, but if I get lucky in a leg or two, it can pay. I hoped Gun Runner would be the favorite after all the hype and the knocks on Arrogate’s last two races and the opinions he doesn’t like Del Mar but that doesn’t appear to be the case. he is favored in the Distaff-Classic double by about $5 dollars.
SUMMARY:
Basically my two days revolve around being alive into Elate on Friday, and Arrogate on Saturday. Arrogate will be a much bigger wager for me and actually one of my biggest wagers of the year. I am going to focus on the Pick 4’s. Two Pick 4’s and two GO BACK tickets. Hopefully I will be alive. I think the two late Pick 4 pools will be huge, and by going deep in the first three legs, and singling in the last, I can put myself in position to hit a nice one. I am also doing a Twin Spires Pick 6 Players Pool which I bought into myself. That pool is 25k, so I will go deeper than I will here, but the singles are the singles. The other races will take a much smaller percentage of my bankroll as outlined in my wagering strategies. Some of my top choices I will play on top in the exactas, triples, and superfectas. My suggestion is use my thoughts with yours and come up with the spots you feel most confident. There will be a lot of opportunities and some big upsets, so take your shots where you think you have the best chance. make it count and all the best. Suit up, it’s time!
So much of this game is visual. Much more than is given credit for. Yes I use Thoro-Graph, and also make my own figures, but the eyes never lie and are as important a tool as anything. That’s what TRACKING TRIPS is all about. The eye comes with experience, there is no shortcut.
Here are some TRACKING TRIPS horses in today:
Arrogate (#1, 2/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 12 (Breeders’ Cup Classic).
YOUR NOTES: Santa Anita 6/24/2016. Nothing but talent and class here and looks stakes class. RACE RATING 8+
Roy H (#8, 7/2) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 8 (TwinSpires Breeders’ Cup Sprint).
YOUR NOTES: Del Mar 7/29/2017, Race 9- was carried wide and bothered by loose horse {Drefong} while running big race in Del Mar stake, holds great form RACE RATING 6-
West Coast (#8, 6/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 12 (Breeders’ Cup Classic).
YOUR NOTES: Keeneland Race 9 4/15/2017, lightly raced colt is just developing and getting good while still a little green, broke from far outside slot going 1 1.16th at Keeneland and ran a big race. to get nailed late by a more experienced horse not likely to beat him on the square again, colt has a future and could even be Preakness material, definitely stakes quality. RACE RATING 7 +
Hollywood Star (#12, 15/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 10 (Sentient Jet Breeders’ Cup Juvenile).
YOUR NOTES: Saratoga. 8/13/2017 Race 8- this horse can run some, closed a ton over speed biased track on a day where making up ground was difficult, was covered in dirt and winner was clean as a whistle, RACE RATING 8+
Unique Bella (#11, 9/5) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 6 (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint).
YOUR NOTES: Santa Anita 1/8/2017 Race 8- As good a three-year old filly as there is right now and she is still green and learning what the game is all about, should only get better, and shuts down so should go longer, worlds of talent here and an exciting one to watch. Big things ahead. RACE RATING 9+
Finley’sluckycharm (#9, 6/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 6 (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint).
YOUR NOTES: Saratoga Race 9 7/26/2017 did all the heavy lifting going to the front, battling the whole way, taking a new challenge in the stretch from a quality mare. fought back to re take the lead and succumbed late, ran her eyeballs out, may need some time off and it is no secret this one can motor, but may be sitting on a monster race if she doesn’t bounce RACE RATING 8+
Grand Jete (GB) (#8, 6/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 7 (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf).
YOUR NOTES: Keeneland Race 5 4/13/2017, ran huge in US debut, dominated nice bunch and is stakes quality, bright future. RACE RATING 7 –
War Flag (#1, 12/1) is entered Del Mar on Saturday, November 4th, 2017 in Race 7 (Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf).
YOUR NOTES: Monmouth 7/30/2017 Race 11- dropped back and closed widest of all in good field in Monmouth grass stake, finishing best and galloped out very strong, likely to continue improving and may be top class gal over here in the States RACE RATING 7+
TRACKING TRIPS is not a “pick service”. It is much more, a second set of trained eyes, and not just for troubled trips, but for talented horses. It is no coincidence all these horses are running in the Breeders’ Cup. There are others running this weekend as well. Arrogate, West Coast, Unique Bella, those just took a glance. #MEMBERSHIP! Be with us!
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