On this episode of the Kentucky Derby Radar Show, Jon Stettin is joined by Jim Gazzale and Jeff Metz to break down the Risen Star from Fair Grounds. Is Angel of Empire a strong Kentucky Derby contender, who is he a pretender?
They also look at other runners out of the Risen Star including Two Phils, Victory Formation, and more. What’s next for them along the Road to the Kentucky Derby?
Jon, Jeff, and Jim take a look ahead at the Rebel Stakes from Oaklawn Park this weekend. Jon shares who he likes in that race… Gun Pilot, Giant Mischief, and Reincarnate are all part of the discussion.
And the group talks about the Kentucky Derby contenders that have been moved from Bob Baffert’s barn in hopes of earning Kentucky Derby points.
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Summary of The Kentucky Derby Radar Show – Episode 2
This video is an episode from the “Kentucky Derby Radar Show” on YouTube, hosted by Jon Stettin, Jim Gazzale, and Jeff Metz. In this episode, the hosts discuss the Risen Star race and the upcoming preps leading up to the Kentucky Derby. They analyze the contenders and pretenders, their performance, and potential. They also discuss the horse Angel of Empire, who won the Risen Star race, and the other horses who finished behind him. The hosts also talk about Brad Cox’s dominance at the fairgrounds and the horses that may or may not be in contention for the Kentucky Derby. They give their opinions on the race and the horses to watch out for as the Kentucky Derby approaches.
- 00:00:00 In this second Kentucky Derby radar show, Jon and Jeff discuss how the winner of the race, Angel of Empire, got a good setup and how dark it was during the race. They also talk about some of the top contenders in the race.
- 00:05:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses potential contenders for the Derby, including the winner of the Risen Star race and the runner-up in the race. The show’s host, Jon, is doubtful of the horse’s chances and mentions another horse that he is thought showed a good move, but would need proper race placement, Larry Rivelli’s Maiden.
- 00:10:00 In this episode of the Kentucky Derby Radar Show, Jeff Metz and Jim Gazzale and Jon Stettin discuss the upcoming races that will help determine who will compete in the Kentucky Derby. They note that a win in one of these preps gets a horse points that can help them qualify for the Kentucky Derby. They also discuss how a horse’s Constitution, eating habits, and fitness can affect their chances of qualifying.
- 00:15:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses how horses can be heavily bet on in their next start after performing well in their last race, and how this can lead to inflated odds for the race. The show also discusses the Rebel race, which is a possible opportunity for high-stakes gamblers.
- 00:20:00 In this episode of “The Kentucky Derby Radar Show,” the Hosts give their thoughts on the potential field of horses in the Kentucky Derby. Jim and Jeff specifically point out two horses they are interested in watching: Giant Mischief and Reincarnate. Jon mentions that he expects Giant Mischief to have to prove his quality with a good performance in the upcoming Rebel. Jon also mentions that he has concerns about Tim Yakteen’s horse, Reincarnate, but overall he is rooting for the best possible outcome for all of the horses in the race.
- 00:25:00 In this episode of “The Kentucky Derby Radar Show,” Jon discusses Gun Pilot, a horse who has been successful in previous races but who faces a possible challenge from Verifying, who was victorious in a previous race against Gun Pilot.
- 00:30:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses the upcoming race between Giant Mischief and Verifying and how the race can be analyzed. The show’s host mentions that they are biased towards Giant Mischief, as he has a future in horse racing. Jeff Metz also mentions that he likes Irad Ortiz on the mount, who they believe will be a strong finisher. They discuss how the horses are working together and what makes them a good team. They also mention that it is rare to see a horse debut in the $475,000 Indiana Grand. John Velasquez picks Giant Mischief as his gun pilot and recommends betting on him.
- 00:35:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses how riders are preparing for the Derby by riding horses they may not think are as good. One example is Martin Garcia.
- 00:40:00 Jeff discusses the issues between loyalty and race horse selection in the Kentucky Derby. Jockeys are typically focused on winning the Kentucky Derby and will ride any horse that has a chance to win, regardless of whether they are loyal to that horse or not. Jockeys typically make their decision about which horse to ride in the Kentucky Derby well in advance, based on a number of factors, including the horse’s recent performance and race history. If a jockey’s horse does not perform well in a race, the jockey may still ride that horse in other races, knowing that there is a chance the horse will improve in the future.
- 00:45:00 As a trainer, Jeff Metz discusses how he would approach racing a horse in the Kentucky Derby if he were the owner. He says that if he had a top rider, he would ride him, but if the rider was a “lesser name” but had a good track record, he would take him. He says that it is difficult to get a call from the top riders, but that if a good trainer and horse combination is put together, they will win. He believes that Mario Gutierrez is a good example of a loyal trainer and jockey combination that has been successful.
- 00:50:00 In this episode of the Kentucky Derby Radar Show, Jon discusses how Umberto Rispoli won a race aboard Rock Your World, but then the mount was given to Joel Rosario. Jon mentions that Bob Baffert has an “edge” when it comes to training horses for the big races.
- 00:55:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses how the suspension of trainer Bob Baffert affects the horses and riders preparing for the Derby race. Some of the trainers who will have access to Baffert’s horses include Steve Asmussen, and many of the horses have a quality pedigree and are likely to adapt well to their new surroundings.
- 01:00:00 Jeff and Jon discuss how horses break and re-break during races. They point out that, while some people may call re-breaking “bad,” it is actually just a method of training horses that is used by some of the best trainers in the world, because they have the luxury of large barns which allow them to train horses in company. When a horse is trained this way, it is less likely to fatigue quickly in a race and still have plenty of energy left to run well.
- 01:05:00 The Kentucky Derby Radar Show discusses their upcoming seminar and how to identify which horses are likely to win the Derby race, and how to bet on Derby races.
