Saratoga Teachings – 2YO Maiden Special Weight Races – Sire Wins

July 15, 2023

Into Mischief’s daughter Naughty Gal scoring in the 2022 The Adirondack at Saratoga. (Chelsea Durand)

By 2YO EdgeMan, 07/14/2023

We are finally off and running at Saratoga’s 2023 Meet. Before we get any deeper into the summer, I wanted to share some statistics with you regarding Sire Wins for Two-Year-Old Maiden Special Weight races at The Spa. Our analysis covers the prior five years (2018 through 2022). Before we dig in, let me ask you a quick question – ‘Who gives you the most detailed information on 2YO MSW races’?  If you answered with anything other than PastTheWire.com, I’m protesting. In all seriousness, we enjoy bringing you these teachings and hope that you find them valuable.

We’ve all heard the old saying, ‘Horses for Courses’. I believe that holds true even for the offspring of certain sires. The only way to dig into that it to simply take a look at sire stats and how their charges have performed at Saratoga. We want to go back far enough to get a reasonable sample, but also not too far back as it would exclude some of the sires that didn’t start serving stallion duty until fairly recently. So, we’ve settled on a five year look back. 

It goes without saying that some stallions stamp horses that excel at a higher clip on the dirt vs. turf and certainly, visa versa. Hence, we’ve broken down our analysis into three buckets – dirt, turf and all. 

Without any further ado, please see the following table…

Saratoga: 2YO MSW Sire Wins (Five or more Total Wins) 2018 thru 2022

EnteredDirtTurfTotalDirtTurfTotal% Win% Win% Win
Sire (by total wins)StudWinsWinsWinsStartsStartsStartsDirtTurfTotal
Into Mischief200916319841810219.0%16.7%18.6%
More Than Ready*200119101431457.1%29.0%22.2%
Tapit2005641031205119.4%20.0%19.6%
Cairo Prince201543715254026.7%12.0%17.5%
Nyquist201761719113031.6%9.1%23.3%
Constituition201642619113021.1%18.2%20.0%
American Pharoah201632519254415.8%8.0%11.4%
Central Banker201550532154715.6%0.0%10.6%
Kitten’s Joy*2006055125260.0%20.0%19.2%
Twirling Candy**201232511142527.3%14.3%20.0%
Uncle Mo20122352820487.1%15.0%10.4%

* – deceased 
** – also won on 7/13/23

Twelve sires have had four winners – Blame, Curlin, Frosted, Gun Runner, Maclean’s Music, Medaglia d’Oro, Orb, Outwork, Shanghai Bobby, Speightstown, Tapiture and Upstart.

While you are at it check out episode 1 of Saratoga Saturday, our weekly Saturday show from The Spa every Saturday of the meet:

Good luck at The Spa this summer. Please let us know if there is anything that we can do to help you in pursuit of information on our wonderful juveniles. Take care and be well – enjoy the babies.

@jonathanstettin on hot streak! Picks Race8 at both @GulfstreamPark & @santaanitapark ow.ly//cyil307C3Tp #horseracing #PastTheWire

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