Santa Anita, Three Grade 1 Pick 4, opening day talk

December 23, 2022

Taiba wins the Pennsylvania Derby (Eric Kalet)

Welcome to another episode of Past The Wire TV. Santa Anita opening day for their winter meet is always special. This year is no exception and is one really nice card. We have some new additions to an already deep jockey colony, a potential championship on the line, and some world class racing.

Michael Vale and Jonathan Stettin talk Santa Anita opening day and the late Pick 4 sequence. If you want to see the short but great interview with Steve Asmussen at the Breeders’ Cup referenced during the show you can catch it here.

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Here is a time stamped summary of the show for your convenience:

Summary of Santa Anita, Three Grade 1 Pick 4, opening day talk

00:00:00 – 00:55:00

The video is discussing the opening day event at Santa Anita, a racetrack known for its beautiful mountain backdrop. The speakers, Jon and Michael, are discussing the card for the 26th, the day after Christmas, which includes several stakes races, including the Saudi Cup, a 20-million-dollar race. They also mention several well-known trainers and jockeys who will be participating, including Bob Baffert, Dettori, Prat, Rosario, and Kimura. They also mention the La Brea Stakes, a grade one race for three-year-old fillies going seven furlongs on the dirt. They discuss the chances of different horses in the race, including Hot Peppers and Ganadora, and mention that Baffert has four horses entered in the race, which could make it difficult for other trainers to win. They also mention that Bob Baffert, a trainer, seems to be getting his horses back on track after moving them from one barn to another.

  • 00:00:00 This YouTube video discusses the benefits of tracking trips, which is a tool that horse race players can use to improve their odds and betting strategies. Jon Stettin, a well-known horse racing analyst, discusses the Santa Anita opening day card, which he believes is one of the best cards of the year.
  • 00:05:00 In this YouTube video, trainer Jon discusses why he believes Frankie Dettori and Country Grammer are a good team to compete in high-level races, such as the Santa Anita Three Grade 1 Pick 4. He also mentions that Frankie is riding to his last year and that the Breeders Cup is at Santa Anita this year.
  • 00:10:00 In the Santa Anita three grade 1 pick 4, Mike Smith is described as an iron horse, riding horses in phenomenal shape to win. John Sadler, the trainer of one of the other horses, is likely to be tough to beat. Other horses in the race include Arabian Lion, Bob Baffin’s Futurity horse, and Hot peppers, who is favored by Bedford.
  • 00:15:00 The video discusses the opening day of the Santa Anita Three Grade 1 Pick 4. The talker notes that one horse, outside of Bob Baffert’s horses, appears to be capable of winning. They also discuss the race involving Midnight Memories, which the talker feels is potentially dangerous.
  • 00:20:00 The video discusses Santa Anita’s Grade 1 Pick 4 races, which opened on Sunday. The jockey who is riding the horse in the race for Doug O’Neill, is discussed. The horse, Awake at midnight, is discussed, and the jockey believes she has a good chance of winning.
  • 00:25:00 The video discusses Santa Anita’s three Grade 1 Pick 4 races, in which the horses can use Lasix. The four horses that the Host is going to use are the 3-Ballet Dancing,  the 6 Batyah, the 7-MyFavoriteDaughter, and the 12-Karakatsie. The trainer notes that he is worried about two others and that he is hopeful that they will be able to run well when the real running starts. The other horse that the trainer is going to use is Batyah, who he thinks has the potential to be longer than the five to one odds.
  • 00:30:00 The three-year-old horses racing at Santa Anita in California will be competing for a purse of $1 million. The video discusses the horses that the commentator thinks are likely to win, including the 12-1 favorite Leisure Wear, the three-year-old horse John Velazquez is considering for his bet, and the fourth horse he is considering, Precious Baby. The commentator also mentions that there are a number of other horses that are capable of winning, and that he will be using all of them in his bet.
  • 00:35:00 In this video, the host discusses his thoughts on Santa Anita’s Malibu,  which will be run on opening day. Jon believes that Messier, who has not run well in recent races, could still win the race if he is able to cut back distance. He also believes that Taiba, who has been racing well this year, might be able to beat Messier if he gets lazy in the stretch.
  • 00:40:00 The narrator discusses several horses with unknown racing experience. He ultimately decides to bet on Taiba, a horse he admires but has difficulty picking to win. The other horse he considers is Nakatomi, whom he believes will overcome the odds and win.
  • 00:45:00 The presenter gives a brief overview of the Grade 1 American Oaks discussing their top picks and why. They mention that they are taking a shot with one of their picks, and that Pizza Bianca could easily win.
  • 00:50:00 The horse with the highest chance of winning a race at Santa Anita is Salima, but it is possible that Brendan Walsh’s horse, Bell Street Birdie, will be the favorite. Skims is a horse that is likely to win based off her recent performances and her connections in California.

@jonathanstettin Well done per usual. A true horseplayer who can articulate nicely #keepitup.

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