The Sam F. Davis and the Tampa Bay Full Card by Anthony Fontaine

February 8, 2020

Race One Selections: 6-3-5-1 

#6 Mast Cove goes first off the claim for high percentage trainer. Should give a good effort in this spot.

#3 Morning Princess comes off an impressive score last out and will look to build off that effort and should be competitive. #5 Rattlesnakerose climbs the class ladder off a solid effort last out and should be in the mix turning for home. 

Race Two Selections: 6-5-9-4 

# Clean Fun debuts for a trainer that is 0 for 25 first out however this one appears to be well bred and this field does not appear to have any world beaters.

#5 Maliced takes another drop after failing at a short price last out. Will look to make amends today. #9 American Countess Appears well spotted for action first out the gate. 

Race Three Selections: 10-7-3-6 

#10 Fafa Fooey gets back to conventional dirt where this runner should appreciate, and the level appears right for a good performance today.

#7 Acspectation outran the odds in last race while finishing well behind the runaway winner. Another move forward is not out the question as this one should fit well here. #3 Sultry Samurai returns to the races after a nice win at a short number and looking for more glory. Runner had an ideal set up last out and not sure such an optimal scenario is in the cards today, still this one should be competitive. 

Race Four Selections: 2-1-3-4 

#2 Texas Swing ran well in the debut after a less than ideal start. Runner has worked well since that event and looks poised to improve off that effort with the experience.

#1 Safe and Sound appears to have some ability although the rail is very tricky for a first timer, I anticipate a solid effort. #3 Giocare another expensive Pletcher debut runner looks poised to make presence felt in this spot. 

Race Five Selections: 4-7-9-10 

#4 Gesture has been working lights out for the debut scorching the track in final work. Trainer can have one ready first out and with top rider in tow I anticipate a good effort.

#7 Recorded showed speed last out and stopped over a sloppy Churchill surface. Runner should improve with the experience and time away and Wilkes horses tend to mature and improve so anticipate a solid effort. #9 Nagini had an even debut on the lawn and should benefit greatly from the experience. Runner is well bred and expect this runner to be formidable in the lane. 

Race Six Selections: 5-8-11-7 

#5 With Herself had a wide trip last out at Gulfstream and closed belatedly to pick off a few runners. Expect this one to have a better trip and with racing luck can be formidable at a nice price.

#8 Tiltingatwindmills ran a good race last out to just miss at a short price. Runner looks poised for another solid effort and appears well spotted against this group. Should be the main danger in the lane. #11 War Rose won nicely in an off the turf event. Runner has not shown any real affinity for the turf however is lightly raced and still developing so should give a good effort. 

Race Seven Selections: 8-6-4-2 

#8 Semper Fi debuts for the always dangerous duo of Pletcher and Velazquez. Trainer has another runner in the race that may be favored however this one would appear to be more precocious and able to excel at today’s short distance, whereas the other Pletcher would appear to want a longer trip.

#6 Silver Maker the other Pletcher looks like a promising runner. By the late great sire Empire Maker this one should do well once they stretch out. A victory today is not out the question however I would not take a short price as I anticipate this one getting better as the races get longer. #4 Saratogian another by Empire Maker in the debut has had some modest works however trainer is not known for drilling them in the morning. Has top notch rider in tow and expect this one to give a solid effort today. 

Race Eight The Endevour, Selections: 7-5-4-2 

#7 Got Stormy appears to tower over this field as runner looks to get the 2020 campaign started with a victory today. Runner runs well fresh and although it is difficult to determine from time to time how a horse will come back off a layoff, I figure this one to be tough to deny.

#5 Dynatail has shown an affinity for this course and always tries hard. With the rain over the last few days course will have some give and may favor her style. If the big favorite were to scratch, then I would enthusiastically back this runner for the win. #4 Andina Del Sur ran well last out and was a bit unlucky to finish a close third. With a better trip today providing the race stays on the lawn expect another solid effort. 

Race Nine The Suncoast, Selections: 8-9-7-4-1 

#8 Turtle Trax hopped at the break last out and lost all real chance to give an optimal performance in the stake debut. Promptly went to the sideline and returns today for formidable connections. This one figures to fly under the radar and can make some noise at a nice number.

#9 Embossed has thrived since moving to Tampa and appears poised for another forward move in this spot. Well-bred runner has worked well since last open length victory and another solid effort appears to be well within her scope. #7 Blame Debbie should find this group a bit kinder than the one she faced at Aqueduct a few months ago. She closed belatedly for a share that day and although I think the connections are using this race as a steppingstone for others down the road this runner can also have an impact at the wire. 

Race Ten The Tampa Bay, Selections: 4-8-7-1 

#4 Caribou Club will attempt to start the 2020 season with a victory in this event. Runner relishes the distance and conditioner can have them ready to go off the bench so anticipate a solid effort in this spot.

#8 Real Story paid the price for dueling last out at Keeneland and hastily retreated down the lane. Today the pace scenario appears much more favorable for this runner and may forget to stop. #7 Hembree comes off a similar layoff almost a year to the day when this runner pulled off a nice score at Gulfstream. Hard trying consistent runner should give a good account of herself and be tough in the lane once again. 

Race Eleven, The Sam F. Davis Selections: 1-7-4-6 

#1 Ajaaweed would benefit greatly from a speed duel. Runner likes to stalk and pounce and may have that opportunity in this spot today. Rosario making the trip for this race only adds to the appeal.

#7 Tiz Rye Time may have bounced a bit last out off a solid maiden score and can come back today with a surprisingly good effort. Connections are solid and Leparoux is at times under appreciated. Price should be enticing and would not be the worst stab to take. #4 Independence Hall will be a short price in this event as this runner’s connections have loftier goals in mind. Horse is undefeated and has ran well in all three races however the most recent effort saw this one struggle mightily to gain the advantage at a very short number. The field today appears a bit tougher and if this runner is hooked early it may set the stage for a long price closer to steal the race late. 

Race Twelve Selections: 3-9-10-5 

#3 Itsagimmie’s Girl returns off the bench after a very productive 2019. Trainer can have them ready to fire and expect this one to be tough in the lane.

#9 Igottawhiteface closed mildly last out for a share and will need some pace to run at to improve off that effort however is not out of the question against this group today. #10 Sapphire Jubilee tired a bit late in most recent outing however would be inclined to give this runner another chance to make a favorable impression in this spot.

Contributing Authors

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Anthony Fontaine

An avid horse player for more than 30 originally from the Virgin Islands Tony brings a unique perspective to handicapping.  Using speed figures, keen observation, ...

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@jonathanstettin great pick!

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