Kentucky Derby Handicapper predicts biggest favorite in 28 years

August 29, 2020

LOUISVILLE, Ky. (August 28, 2020) – TwinSpires handicapper Ed DeRosa is anticipating this year’s Kentucky Derby will feature the biggest favorite in nearly three decades.

DeRosa has released his early Morning Line odds for America’s Greatest Race, which predict what price each Derby contender will start the Run for the Roses on Sept. 5 at Churchill Downs.

The Barclay Tagg-trained Tiz The Law will go off at the short odds of 7-5, according to DeRosa. This would make the son of Constitution the biggest favorite since 1992, when an odds-on Arazi disappointed his supporters by finishing 8th.

DeRosa doesn’t expect Tiz The Law to follow in Arazi’s hoof prints.

Tiz The Law is virtually bombproof and only bad luck is going to stand in the way of him and a Derby victory,” said DeRosa.

Should Tiz The Law start at 7-5 or below, it would make him the shortest price favorite, in a race with 19 runners or more, in American racing history.

“I’m going to wait for the draw before making my final Derby pick, but one thing is for certain, either Tiz The Law or Art Collector will have to win, or I’m not cashing a ticket.”

The Tommy Drury-trained Art Collector is an 8/1 equal second favorite with Honor A.P. on DeRosa’s odds sheet, while Authentic is rated a 10/1 chance. The rest of the field are marked at odds of 20/1 or longer.

Betting on this year’s Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve opens on Friday, Sept. 4. TwinSpires is offering new players a $200 bonus if they sign up with the code GET200.

More than $250 million was wagered on the Kentucky Derby Day program last year, with more than $165 million of that on the Kentucky Derby race alone.


For a video grab of Ed’s comments click here

DeRosa’s 2020 Kentucky Derby Early Morning Line Odds

Tiz The Law 7/5

Art Collector 8/1

Honor A.P. 8/1

Authentic 10/1

NY Traffic 20/1

King Guillermo 20/1

Thousand Words 20/1

Max Player 25/1

Enforceable 40/1

Rushie 40/1

Major Fed 40/1

Storm The Court 40/1

Attachment Rate 40/1

Necker Island 40/1

Shirl’s Speight 40/1

Money Moves 40/1

Sole Volante 50/1

Finnick The Fierce 50/1

Winning Impression 50/1

About TwinSpires

TwinSpires, a Churchill Downs Incorporated company, is the official wagering partner of the Kentucky Derby.

Twin Spires Press Release

“I enjoy the fresh take and straight shooting from Jonathan Stettin in his Past the Wire column.”

Jill Baffert View testimonials