We change venues and it’s time to shine : Jimmy W attacks the first Saturday Saratoga Card
#2 Marshall Plan – colt holds a significant speed and also a conditioning edge to most of these and gets a slight cut back to distance that should do the trick .
#5 Adulation – 3 starts are solid vs some tough types . Started his career here at Toga where he ran huge on a sloppy track is a bonus . The negative is the trainer is super low % with this type of layoff .
#1 Mr. Crow – Pletcher colt got no attention in opener @ 11-1 while losing by a neck as much the best ( rough start and trip ) to Casse 8/5 firster who had clean journey. Today under 3-1 .
# 6 Tipsy Kitten – while it might of took longer then they wanted , I think the light finally turned on for this one ; as he won last 2 and really liked the strong move in his last . Most recent bullet also plays to the theory that this one has turned the corner . Leparoux/Maker/Ramsey like to win together as do I , lol .
#1 Daddy’s Home – while this one will be overbet and well lower than he should be there ain’t much to beat in this spot . Javy / Chad and finished even 8th but only lost by 5 lengths to much better after winning initial try down at Gulf .
#5 Prize Fight – Maker/Ortiz and dropped in for tag after some excuses and some in over his head spots . The good news is he fits well with these , hood comes off and will probably be half the 12/1 m/l .
Worth a mention #10 The Great Samarai – statebred maiden claimer 1st x vs classier winners ???? But do see some things to like worthy of a longshot look .
#5 Untamed Domain – Motion likes Laurel but 5.5f try looks like it was a workout to me while his unveiling in MSW. I have a soft spot of Animal Kingdom who this one is out of and believe the stretchout , Lasix, and the use of Jose Ortiz usually means business for Motion .
#7 Another – Mott/Alvarado have been brutal together but have done good work together on turf in a not to distant past . Sire and trainer are extremely poor % with first out runners . If you are gonna use you have to believe in Mott and the breeding and a trend change here , I am willing to take a shot .
#2 Royal Holiday – Ward entry , Johnny V on both so only if this one stays in , like some things , watch the tote .
#1A – Johnny Action – Plethcher / Javy/ Pompa Jr. have to respect but again the board should help .
#2 Rockport Kat – wide open race here but this one ran some strong races while on the west coast in 2015/16 . Might of had some issues since then but dropping a tad again and might be set for best effort . Diodoro/Arroya 27% combo .
#4 Shuffle Up – Servis drops this one to level for a win and will be solid fave but but but , won’t have lead here and will have to rate behind a few here , Franco knows this one well and has sat off the pace in the past but feel it’s vulnerable fave.
#7 Bayard – wish it was 6 panels because this one is getting huge pace and class relief and drop . Can’t argue with anyone thinking he can wire these .
#4 Sporting Chance – the only horse with any experience and the only horse we know for sure will show speed . While I advise to watch the board with others , have to believe this one has an edge in this spot .
#3 Tap Daddy – Asmussen/Geroux Scat Daddy colt with steady tab that shows me some talent .
#8 Machismo – Pletcher /Johnny V 500k More than Ready colt is one to watch the board on .
#4 Fleet Irish – Best Bet alert !!!! , simple for me here as there is plenty of pace on paper , 7f fits perfect and he is in top form . Rolling late .
#9 Born for a Storm – Away since October but is a major threat for Javy/Chad Brown . Seems to like it here at Toga which is a huge plus.
#12 Build to Suit – should be sitting just off the pace from comfy outpost for Chad / Irad.
Worth a look #5 Terry O Geri- turf to dirt and colt is 1-1 on fast track . Can close here .